U.S. Unemployment Will Stay Below 6.0 Percent in 2026

U.S. unemployment will stay below 6.0 percent in 2026 and avoid the headline shock that would erase payroll gains. Every Employment Situation Report the Bureau of Labor Statistics issues for January through December 2026 will show U-3 under 6.0 percent in Table A-15 on the BLS site. The BLS reports…