U.S. economy will avoid recession

The U.S. will avoid a recession through the end of 2026. Q1 2026 real GDP grew 2.0% annualized after a 0.5% print in Q4 2025, and WARN filings show layoffs were slowing into June 2026, trends that will keep payrolls and demand afloat. The OECD trimmed its 2026 U.S. growth forecast to 2.0% on June 3…